Tesla Q3 'An Unexpectedly Good Quarter': 10 Analysts On Earnings, Margins, FSD, Robotaxis, More
- by Benzinga.com
- Oct 24, 2024
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Chris Katje, Benzinga Staff Writer
October 24, 2024 12:28 PM
| 6 min read Also Read: Elon Musk Promises Free Hardware 4 Upgrades if Tesla’s Hardware 3 Fails Full Self-Driving Test
Cantor Fitzgerald on TSLA: Tesla confirming more affordable vehicle models in 2025 was the key highlight from the third-quarter earnings for Sheppard, who called this a "meaningful catalyst for the company."
While Tesla provided more details on the Robotaxi rollout and future plans, Sheppard said there are still no expectations on the initial fleet size or details on the timing.
"Overall, we continue to see future revenues from FSD and Robotaxi as fundamental to TSLA's bull thesis over the long term, but we remain neutral on valuation in the near-term," Sheppard said.
Morgan Stanley on TSLA: Tesla's underlying focus on lowering vehicle cost of goods sold per unit and scaling the in-house battery business are two key takeaways from the quarterly results that might be less noticeable, Jonas said in a new investor note.
"As investors struggle with the business model shift from auto to AI, this print reminds us growing the auto business profitably remains a high priority," Jonas said.
The analyst said the 2025 delivery growth depends on Tesla's ability to improve affordability with the next-gen vehicle launch.
"We get the sense that FY25 is shaping up to be a year where Tesla focuses its efforts on reducing costs largely within the confines of its existing manufacturing footprint."
Wedbush on TSLA: Strong margins and 2025 delivery guidance were highlights in the earnings report for bullish investors, Ives said in a new investor note.
"Last night Tesla delivered an early Christmas present for investors as the bulls got a monster margin rebound and surprisingly strong delivery outlook for 2025," Ives said.
He added that the strong margins helped against "the major overhang on the Tesla story" for the past year. A price war in China and softer electric vehicle demand sent margins lower in previous quarters, leading to concerns from investors and analysts.
"The highlight of the night was Tesla giving delivery growth for 2025 of 20%-30% vs. whisper Street numbers in the 10%-12% heading into the print."
Ives said Musk seemed confident on the call, highlighting several of the company's future growth plans.
"Last night was the first major step on this recovery path and we believe was a seminal quarter for Musk and Tesla to prove the doubters wrong with a very bullish forecast for 2025."
Needham on TSLA: Automotive gross margins were a "positive surprise" in the quarterly results, Pierce said in a new investor note.
"TSLA continues to use price as a lever to drive units, but q/q vehicle COGS improvements were ahead of ASP declines driving margin upside," Pierce said.
The analyst said the high price-to-earnings multiple, concerns about future margin consistency, and uncertainty about the timing of the Robotaxi venture are reasons to remain cautious and keep the Hold rating.
Goldman Sachs on TSLA: After the gross margin beat, attention could turn to FSD and vehicle delivery targets going forward, Delaney said in a new investor note.
"Skeptics will likely focus on the historical delays from Telsa on reaching its targets, although more positive investors may point to the increased specificity in Tesla's current FSD outlook," Delaney said.
The analyst said Tesla is well positioned for long-term growth with a strong leadership position in electric vehicles and AI.
Truist on TSLA: Tesla's earnings report and conference call left unanswered questions for Stein.
"Tesla delivers EPS upside on strong margin performance, but, where's the beef?" Stein said.
The analyst said there were minimal details on FSD and the 2025 new model and no details on the Optimus Bot.
"There were several items we could highlight as imperfect in the qtr, but they're much less important than the many unanswered questions."
Stifel on TSLA: Tesla's third quarter was positive with strong adjusted EBITDA, margins and company commentary, Gengaro said in a new investor note.
"We believe TSLA shares will react well to the strong 3Q24 performance, including stronger-than-expected automotive sales gross margins, and commentary from management," Genagro said.
While the report was positive, Gengaro said Tesla bears will likely focus on lower average sales prices for Tesla vehicles.
"We continue to believe TSLA is very well positioned for long-term growth."
Oppenheimer on TSLA: Strong automotive execution by Tesla could be buying time for artificial intelligence advancements, Rusch said in a new investor note.
The analyst said Tesla can benefit from its cost and technology leadership compared to other electric vehicle models.
"We see the company returning to growth and margin expansion," Rusch said.
One key question from the analyst is whether Tesla can leverage its data, cost, and scale advantages going forward.
TSLA Price Action: Tesla stock is up 18.8% to $253.81 on Thursday, versus a 52-week trading range of $138.80 to $271.00. Tesla stock is up 2% year-to-date with Thursday's gains.
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