
2DXYZ, XOVR : Cathie Wood's ARK Invest Projects $2.5 ... - Benzinga
- by Benzinga.com
- Jun 11, 2025
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Central to this thesis is the projected growth of Starlink, SpaceX's satellite broadband business, which ARK believes could generate $300 billion in annual revenue once the constellation is complete, which is expected by 2035, and would account for 15% of total global communications spending.
The analysis also factors in the company’s Mars ambitions. It believes that once Starlink matures, with steady cash flows, SpaceX can divert resources toward building Martian infrastructure using “Mars-adapted Optimus Robots (Optimi).”
It delves heavily into the minutiae of the company’s operations, accounting for the productivity gains that come from reusable Starship rockets, the economics of Starlink’s bandwidth, with satellite performance measured in gigabits per kilogram, to arrive at its conclusions.
Wright’s Law plays a significant role in the firm’s forecasts, which essentially refers to projecting cost declines as a function of cumulative production.
Ark, nonetheless, covers the risks involved with its thesis, noting that “space is an inherently challenging domain with significant execution risk,” while other events such as CEO Elon Musk’s sudden departure or the failure to scale Optimus, could materially impact outcomes.
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