SpaceX Needs $3 Billion or Less for Manned Moon Missions to Kill SLS
- by NextBigFuture
- Oct 22, 2025
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Brian Wang
SpaceX and Elon Musk can replace SLS, Space Launch System, with the fixed priced $100 million per ton moon missions from 2028 and beyond. This would still be $10 billion for a full 100 ton payload to the moon and $7 billion if the same costs were used but scaled based on fewer refueling launches. SpaceX can get the cost of launching each Super Heavy Starship down to $100 million per launch. Six refueling launches and a main mission launch can be brought down to $1 billion or less eventually. IF SpaceX can get its manned moon missions and combined cargo missions to a fixed price $3 billion, then they could fully kill the $4-6 billion missions for SLS.
SpaceX says it plans to begin Starship cargo missions to the Moon in 2028 and to Mars in 2030, with each mission priced at $100 million per metric ton of payload. That’s $100,000 per kilogram (or $45,359 per pound).
Starship cargo flights to the lunar surface for research, development, and exploratory missions start in 2028, at a rate of $100 million per metric ton.
SpaceX would need to have ridesharing missions to the moon so NASA would not be paying for extra capacity for a clearer economic win over SLS.
Ideally, SpaceX needs to mature its cargo and manned lunar delivery so that it can offer $3 billion or less for crewed and full payload missions to the moon.
Brian Wang
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
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