Brian Wang Elon says Tesla will be one of the companies to make AGI and probably the first to make it in humanoid/atom-shaping form. He ties this to Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robots and advanced manufacturing systems, which enable real-world interaction and precision manipulation at scales that pure digital AI can’t match. Grok 5 should be out in Q2 2026 with ~6 trillion parameters and native video understanding. It is still in training on the expanded Colossus supercluster. Public beta is now eyed for March–April 2026. I expect it will be released before the June 2026 IPO of SpaceX-XAI. Elon has previously given it a ~10% (and rising) chance of reaching AGI or something indistinguishable from AGI. Tesla will be one of the companies to make AGI and probably the first to make it in humanoid/atom-shaping form — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 4, 2026 Tesla’s is already producing some Optimus Gen 3. They will be revealed by mid 2026. There will be meaningful factory deployment by end-2026. xAI’s Grok already demonstrates this via continuous reinforcement learning (RL). This avoids the catastrophic forgetting trap of traditional models and enables ongoing improvement without full retraining—key for AGI-like adaptability. Elon calls out importance of intelligence density. There can be ~100x more intelligence per gigabyte or compute unit than people realized. This ties into efficient scaling via Colossus, Tesla’s Dojo/AI4 inference chips, and distributed compute (idle Tesla cars and Optimus). It underpins why he believes AGI arrives faster than many expect. Elon has described a Digital Optimus as a superset of everything except physical robots. Launch targeted by end-2026. However, there is motiviation to reveal and demonstrate and beta launch before the IPO. Brian Wang Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology. Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels. A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements. Categories